How much ammo do we need?

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Thomasss

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Ammo prices are going up again next year. Some mfs. say there is a world-wide shortage of gun powder.
How much should we to stock up? How long will the shortage last?
 
Anyone who claims to have the answer to this question doesn't know what he doesn't know.

Each individual must evaluate needs, wants, requirements and inventory levels. There is no standard loadout, stockpile or price threshold.

There will always be crises on the horizon because these consolidate power and make money for market movers.
 
I don't think anyone knows the answer to this. I personally have made it a habit to keep at least 2 election cycles of ammo or components on hand. Having gotten caught in one shortage years ago this is just my standard.

Just a word of warning, 2 election cycles of components may be enough to violate The Fire Protection Codes so be mindful of this and store your stuff in different places.
 
In the united states it will depend on what happens next Nov. I have zero doubt of that.

Actually, this entire next year (2024) will be a frenzy... we saw it in 2016 with Clinton vs Trump. Trump won, and almost overnight the market relaxed from the insane frenzy in front of the election. I have no doubt we will see the very same thing this election cycle.

I always find this talk of 'how much' a bit specious. If you are looking to guard your handloading efforts by having a reasonable amount of components on hand to ride out any shortage, cost hikes, market volatility... well, that's easy enough. Trying to anticipate a significant change in the political environment, let alone some TEOTWAWKI event, would require a crystal ball.
 
Actually, this entire next year (2024) will be a frenzy... we saw it in 2016 with Clinton vs Trump. Trump won, and almost overnight the market relaxed from the insane frenzy in front of the election. I have no doubt we will see the very same thing this election cycle.

I always find this talk of 'how much' a bit specious. If you are looking to guard your handloading efforts by having a reasonable amount of components on hand to ride out any shortage, cost hikes, market volatility... well, that's easy enough. Trying to anticipate a significant change in the political environment, let alone some TEOTWAWKI event, would require a crystal ball.

What is
TEOTWAWKI

That is pretty much what I was going after. We are getting political so I know we will have a lock soon, but I think everyone knows a second term for biden will bring more gun control across the board and that will be very different from trump.

Me I have about a year of reloading supplies, perhaps not the exact powder I need, but stuff that will work.
 
Ammo prices are going up again next year. Some mfs. say there is a world-wide shortage of gun powder.
How much should we to stock up? How long will the shortage last?

Question: How much ammo do you want?

Answer: Buy all the ammo you want.


Here's my opinion on the subject:

How much you should have is based on your personal wants/needs. Obviously, if you shoot a lot and you shoot often, then you need to buy more, and buy it more frequently.

But if you enjoy shooting and run into frequent lulls in your shooting activities because (reasons), instead of stopping your ammo purchases between shooting events, simply get into a habit of buying a box or two a payday and store it away. This does a couple things:

1. It spreads out your ammo purchases so that you're not hurting your budget by doing it all in a lumpsum like you might be used to doing when you finally have time to go shooting.

2. It builds up a store of ammo you can readily draw upon when needed without having to make spot purchases based solely on when you have time to shoot. In the long run, this will enable you to shop for bargains much easier than otherwise, because you can afford to wait for as long as it takes. Minimum stock levels are up to you during this.
 
Nobody knows. Buy what you think is necessary. If you are a 50 year old that shoots a couple rounds a year to confirm zero and one round to kill a deer annually, a case is probably a lifetime supply. If you are a 3 gun competitor, I hope you own a warehouse. It helps to diversify and know how to reload, fool with black powder, maybe learn to cast.
 
I have ammo that's been stored since the Clinton Administration.
I have a bunch that's my self defense and range ammo.

I always want more, just picked up a case of 5.56 and 9mm from my LGS
 
IMHO:
How much money do you have and how much room do you have ?
If you going to shoot it , great!
The inflation rate of the price of ammo is probably more that the interest you get on money in the bank or investments ! Sell in in the future, though I am not selling it for a profit! I keep what I buy !
As the old saying goes: Better to have and not need than to need and not have !
I'm just sayin :cool:
 
For me the answer is always more than I have, though realistically I'm unlikely to shoot everything I already have. My primary limitation on ammo consumption is the frequency of my range trips.

In the last couple years, most 'new' (handloaded or reloaded) ammo here either arrived as gifts, were replacements for stock shot recently, or some flavor of cartridge I've just added to feed a newly acquired gat.
 
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If foundation, are you concerned the weight of your ammo may collapse the floor joist?
If slab, has the house started to sink into the Earth?
If the answer is no...
you-gotta-pump-those-numbers-up.gif
 
This is the way I look at the question:
Which will be the bigger regret? If I buy now and the price drops 50 percent, or if I wait and it doubles?
Then I consider which is more likely.
 
I go to the range fairly often so I like to keep components for 10k “lung removing” rounds, 200 “warning shot in the air” rounds and just a few hundred of the “fully automatic weapons of war” rounds.

(I have no weapons of war or fully automatic weapons, just to be clear to the nut jobs watching🤨)
 
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Ammo prices are going up again next year. Some mfs. say there is a world-wide shortage of gun powder.
How much should we to stock up? How long will the shortage last?
I know of one vendor who makes this claim. I think they're fanning the flames of panic buying for profit.

I wish I could stop a rush on ammo through reasoning with people, but not enough people can reason.

There's tons of ammo that people bought over the last few years out of a sense of panic. It's depreciating in value as we speak. I'm patiently waiting for things to normalize so people start selling off what they were hording. That flood will bring prices down. I've seen it happen a few times before over more than 3 decades.

I still have ammo left over from the George H. W. Bush administration (Bush #1). Since then I buy it when it's reasonably priced. With that strategy I've ended up with too much, but I got it for pennies per round.

Maybe the question should be, "What should you have done in the past to prepare for times like these?"

I won't pay prices like we have now, and I don't have to. Well, I was a Boy Scout when scouting was rough.
 
I have a mixture of commercial ammunition and components for reloading. With that said in my seventh decade I don't shoot as much as I use to.
 
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